Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.187905 0.217623 0.250501 0.289574 0.334751 0.385357 0.446368
2025-08-24 0.142528 0.182708 0.231809 0.296234 0.378598 0.480455 0.616161
2025-08-31 0.116299 0.159941 0.217070 0.297354 0.407388 0.553119 0.761208
2025-09-07 0.099558 0.144994 0.207901 0.301395 0.437017 0.626964 0.913971
2025-09-14 0.084285 0.128995 0.193975 0.295348 0.449811 0.676876 1.037205
2025-09-21 0.073329 0.117322 0.184095 0.292888 0.466113 0.732032 1.172955
2025-09-28 0.065674 0.109422 0.178508 0.295622 0.489743 0.799769 1.334871
2025-10-05 0.061732 0.106790 0.180608 0.310428 0.533779 0.903811 1.566695
2025-10-12 0.057436 0.102912 0.180017 0.320363 0.570386 0.999064 1.794223
2025-10-19 0.053338 0.098788 0.178385 0.328039 0.603555 1.091473 2.026740
2025-10-26 0.049056 0.093756 0.174479 0.330994 0.628264 1.171110 2.244615
2025-11-02 0.044396 0.087427 0.167442 0.327200 0.639781 1.227524 2.424880
2025-11-09 0.039304 0.079751 0.157192 0.316410 0.637330 1.258657 2.562626
2025-11-16 0.036887 0.077066 0.156219 0.323684 0.671162 1.363387 2.858956
2025-11-23 0.034085 0.073238 0.152511 0.324908 0.692727 1.445844 3.119017
2025-11-30 0.031901 0.070422 0.150501 0.329323 0.721232 1.545147 3.425492
2025-12-07 0.028945 0.065585 0.143718 0.322716 0.725309 1.593544 3.627167
2025-12-14 0.026641 0.061908 0.138994 0.320027 0.737558 1.660544 3.877540
2025-12-21 0.025009 0.059562 0.136917 0.323015 0.762831 1.758712 4.210074
2025-12-28 0.024471 0.059692 0.140405 0.339194 0.820316 1.935518 4.746866
2026-01-04 0.023578 0.058866 0.141593 0.350051 0.866390 2.090788 5.249932
2026-01-11 0.022578 0.057666 0.141761 0.358440 0.907393 2.238347 5.751073
2026-01-18 0.021341 0.055725 0.139932 0.361669 0.935940 2.358755 6.197836